Predict the election result?

By Edward Ferrin Chief Stormont Correspondent

The election “swingometer” appeared on BBC election coverage in 1955!

Voting will have finished at 10pm and usually in Great Britain, the TV channels and pundits will have released their exit poll. Then after the first few results overnight, we would see a “mock” swingometer reading by Jeremy Vine or another BBC analyst sitting alongside Sir. John Curtice of Strathclyde University to analyse the results once they came in. The Gown doesn’t have the resources or the ability to hold opinion polls or an exit poll and post-voting reaction coverage.

Source – The Telegraph.

Instead, I will give a very un-scientific and unprofessional “personal prediction” for the overall results:

State of the Parties Prediction…

Sinn Fein – 21 (-6)

DUP – 19 (-9)

Alliance Party – 13 (+5)

SDLP – 15 (+3)

UUP – 15 (+5)

People Before Profit – 2 (+1)

TUV – 2 (+1)

Green Party – 2 (n/c)

Claire Sugden – 1 (n/c)

I am most probably wrong, but it wouldn’t be an election if it wasn’t for pundits and journalists using their own heads to come up with a few numbers to assess how the election “might” have gone.

Published by The Gown Queen's University Belfast

The Gown has provided respected, quality and independent student journalism from Queen's University, Belfast since its 1955 foundation, by Dr. Richard Herman. Having had an illustrious line of journalists and writers for almost 70 years, that proud history is extremely important to us. The Gown is consistent in its quest to seek and develop the talents of aspiring student writers.

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